Friday, September 29, 2006

What can you do?

What can you do when someone calls like this?

Table "STT 3553439 - 1" Seat 8 is the button.
Seat 1: TumTiddle (1672 in chips)
Seat 4: Natalie83 (1867 in chips)
Seat 7: Owenben (2159 in chips)
Seat 8: pekar (1806 in chips)
Seat 10: Kingcod27 (2496 in chips)
Kingcod27: posts small blind 300
TumTiddle: posts big blind 600
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TumTiddle [7c 9s]
Natalie83: folds
Owenben: folds
pekar: folds
Kingcod27: calls 300
TumTiddle: checks
----- FLOP ----- [9h 4h 5s]
Kingcod27: checks
TumTiddle: bets 1072 and is all-in
Kingcod27: calls 1072
----- TURN ----- [9h 4h 5s][7s]
----- RIVER ----- [9h 4h 5s 7s][6s]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
TumTiddle: shows [7c 9s] (Two Pairs, Nines and Sevens, Six high)
Kingcod27: shows [Ks 4s] (A Flush, King high)
Kingcod27 collects 3344 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 3344 Main pot 3344 Rake 0
Board [9h 4h 5s 7s 6s]
Seat 1: TumTiddle (big blind) showed [7c 9s] and lost
Seat 4: Natalie83 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Owenben folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: pekar (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: Kingcod27 (small blind) showed [Ks 4s] and won (3344) with A Flush, King high

Thursday, September 28, 2006

Bluffing

I rarely bother bluffing at the low limit tables. There just isn't a lot of point. In this example, I have position and try a bluff. I haven't tried this kind of move for months. And I guess I won't be trying it again!

Table "STT 3548994 - 1" Seat 1 is the button.
Seat 1: GHANDI23 (1293.50 in chips)
Seat 2: Fob. (1390.50 in chips)
Seat 4: Feasthogg (2039 in chips)
Seat 6: Jam281118 (1479 in chips)
Seat 7: Claire29 (2908 in chips)
Seat 9: TumTiddle (890 in chips)
Fob.: posts small blind 50
Feasthogg: posts big blind 100
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TumTiddle [Qc Kc]
Jam281118: calls 100
Claire29: calls 100
TumTiddle: calls 100
GHANDI23: folds
Fob.: folds
Feasthogg: checks
----- FLOP ----- [5d 3d Td]
Feasthogg: checks
Jam281118: checks
Claire29: checks
TumTiddle: bets 200
Feasthogg: folds
Jam281118: folds
Claire29: calls 200
----- TURN ----- [5d 3d Td][8c]
Claire29: checks
TumTiddle: bets 590 and is all-in
Claire29: calls 590
----- RIVER ----- [5d 3d Td 8c][Tc]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
TumTiddle: shows [Qc Kc] (A Pair of Tens, King high)
Claire29: shows [9d 9h] (Two Pairs, Tens and Nines, Eight high)
Claire29 collects 2030 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 2030 Main pot 2030 Rake 0
Board [5d 3d Td 8c Tc]
Seat 1: GHANDI23 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: Fob. (small blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: Feasthogg (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 6: Jam281118 folded on the Flop
Seat 7: Claire29 showed [9d 9h] and won (2030) with Two Pairs, Tens and Nines, Eight high
Seat 9: TumTiddle showed [Qc Kc] and lost

Good beat

Not very often that I inflict a bad beat on someone else, but here we go. He'd got me trapped good and proper.

Table "STT 3546495 - 1" Seat 2 is the button.
Seat 2: Paz_gtfc (4259 in chips)
Seat 5: TumTiddle (5741 in chips)
Paz_gtfc: posts small blind 200
TumTiddle: posts big blind 400
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TumTiddle [8c Qc]
Paz_gtfc: calls 200
TumTiddle: checks
----- FLOP ----- [8s 5s 4h]
TumTiddle: bets 400
Paz_gtfc: raises to 800
TumTiddle: raises to 3200
Paz_gtfc: raises to 3859 and is all-in
TumTiddle: calls 659
----- TURN ----- [8s 5s 4h][Qs]
----- RIVER ----- [8s 5s 4h Qs][Kc]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
Paz_gtfc: shows [Ad Ac] (A Pair of Aces, King high)
TumTiddle: shows [8c Qc] (Two Pairs, Queens and Eights, King high)
TumTiddle collects 8518 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 8518 Main pot 8518 Rake 0
Board [8s 5s 4h Qs Kc]
Seat 2: Paz_gtfc (small blind) showed [Ad Ac] and lost
Seat 5: TumTiddle (big blind) showed [8c Qc] and won (8518) with Two Pairs, Queens and Eights, King high

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

Log analysis

I was playing an STT tonight. I was in the money, lying 3rd, short-stacked and high blinds. I went all-in with AQ, got called and beat by A6. This really miffed me. A6 is about 25% or a 3/1 shot to beat me. I couldn't help think how often this happened. Not just in hands I was invloved in, but others too.

This got me thinking. I wrote a little application to analyse my logs. My logs had about 6,000 hand histories. My application found about 150 instances of Ax in a showdown with Ax. The results are listed below. You can right-click on the table and export to Excel (in Internet Explorer) to analyse the results.

Overall it's quite worrying. 50 of the 150 results were unexpected. ie. the underdog won. This equates to a proability of 33% instead of the expected 25%. This is quite a significant difference. There were 50 instances of AK v Ax. Again, in theory, the probability of Ax beating AK is around 25%. But from the results below, the actual result is 33%.

If you want a copy of the application, send me an email at jules.anon@googlemail.com - the application is actually an ASPX webpage written in VB.NET. So, you'll need to run it on IIS locally.

Logs Query
Hand1 Hand2 WinningHand Expected
AK AQ AK -1
AK AT AK -1
AK A5 AK -1
AK A5 A5 0
AK A2 A2 0
AK A6 AK -1
AK AT AK -1
AK A7 AK -1
AK A7 AK -1
AK A8 A8 0
AK A8 AK -1
AK A7 AK -1
AK A7 A7 0
AK A9 AK -1
AK AQ AK -1
AK AQ AK -1
AK A4 AK -1
AK A9 AK -1
AK AT AT 0
AK A6 A6 0
AK A7 AK -1
AK AT AT 0
AK A6 A6 0
AK A7 AK -1
AK A4 AK -1
AK AJ AK -1
AK A2 AK -1
AK A2 AK -1
AK AJ AJ 0
AK AJ AK -1
AK A8 AK -1
AK AQ AK -1
AK A3 AK -1
AK A5 AK -1
AK A8 A8 0
AK A7 A7 0
AK A9 A9 0
AK A3 A3 0
AK AQ AK -1
AK AJ AJ 0
AK AJ AJ 0
AK A3 AK -1
AK AT AK -1
AK A3 AK -1
AK AQ AK -1
AK AJ AJ 0
AK A9 A9 0
AK A7 AK -1
AQ A8 A8 0
AQ A6 AQ -1
AQ A9 AQ -1
AQ A6 AQ -1
AQ AJ AJ 0
AQ AT AT 0
AQ A7 AQ -1
AQ AJ AQ -1
AQ A6 A6 0
AQ A4 A4 0
AQ A7 AQ -1
AQ A7 A7 0
AQ AJ AJ 0
AQ A3 AQ -1
AQ A2 A2 0
AQ A6 AQ -1
AQ A9 AQ -1
AQ AJ AQ -1
AQ A9 AQ -1
AQ A6 AQ -1
AQ A9 AQ -1
AQ A7 AQ -1
AQ A3 AQ -1
AQ AT AQ -1
AQ A3 AQ -1
AQ A4 AQ -1
AQ A4 A4 0
AQ AJ AQ -1
AQ A9 AQ -1
AQ A9 AQ -1
AQ A6 A6 0
AJ A3 AJ -1
AJ A9 AJ -1
AJ A8 AJ -1
AJ A9 AJ -1
AJ A7 A7 0
AJ A6 AJ -1
AJ A8 AJ -1
AJ A6 AJ -1
AJ A5 A5 0
AJ A3 A3 0
AJ A7 A7 0
AJ A8 AJ -1
AJ A6 AJ -1
AJ A9 AJ -1
AJ AT AT 0
AJ A5 A5 0
AJ AT AJ -1
AJ A9 A9 0
AJ A4 A4 0
AJ A7 A7 0
AJ A5 AJ -1
AJ A5 AJ -1
AJ A5 A5 0
AJ A5 A5 0
AJ A5 AJ -1
AJ A7 AJ -1
AT A9 AT -1
AT A8 AT -1
AT A8 A8 0
AT A2 AT -1
AT A4 AT -1
AT A4 AT -1
AT A8 AT -1
AT A8 AT -1
AT A3 A3 0
AT A5 AT -1
AT A8 AT -1
AT A3 A3 0
AT A8 AT -1
AT A4 A4 0
AT A2 AT -1
AT A6 AT -1
AT A8 AT -1
A9 A7 A7 0
A9 A4 A9 -1
A9 A4 A9 -1
A9 A4 A9 -1
A9 A6 A9 -1
A9 A4 A4 0
A9 A3 A9 -1
A9 A4 A4 0
A8 A3 A8 -1
A8 A4 A8 -1
A8 A2 A2 0
A8 A5 A8 -1
A8 A6 A8 -1
A7 A6 A7 -1
A7 A4 A4 0
A7 A2 A7 -1
A7 A4 A7 -1
A5 A2 A5 -1
A5 A2 A5 -1
A5 A4 A5 -1
A5 A4 A5 -1
A5 A4 A5 -1
A5 A4 A5 -1

Monday, September 25, 2006

Ace rag

Still baffles me why people call with Ace-rag. I guess they just don't like to have people steal their blinds.

Table "STT 3525281 - 1" Seat 2 is the button.
Seat 2: whites (1601 in chips)
Seat 4: TumTiddle (733 in chips)
Seat 6: wertyu12 (3991 in chips)
Seat 7: Kford_kid (1421 in chips)
Seat 8: Theo88 (1154 in chips)
Seat 10: Mkb999 (1100 in chips)
TumTiddle: posts small blind 100
wertyu12: posts big blind 200
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TumTiddle [Jd Ad]
Kford_kid: folds
Theo88: folds
Mkb999: folds
whites: folds
TumTiddle: raises to 600
wertyu12: calls 400
----- FLOP ----- [As 3c 6d]
TumTiddle: bets 133 and is all-in
wertyu12: calls 133
----- TURN ----- [As 3c 6d][Kc]
----- RIVER ----- [As 3c 6d Kc][Tc]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
TumTiddle: shows [Jd Ad] (A Pair of Aces, King high)
wertyu12: shows [5c Ac] (A Flush, Ace high)
wertyu12 collects 1466 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 1466 Main pot 1466 Rake 0
Board [As 3c 6d Kc Tc]
Seat 2: whites (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 4: TumTiddle (small blind) showed [Jd Ad] and lost
Seat 6: wertyu12 (big blind) showed [5c Ac] and won (1466) with A Flush, Ace high
Seat 7: Kford_kid folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 8: Theo88 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: Mkb999 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

Saturday, September 23, 2006

Out

It always seems like I go in very unlucky circumstances. The 3-outer has been hit. It just goes to show that you cannot knock somebody off second pair with a check-raise.

Table "STT 3514289 - 1" Seat 3 is the button.
Seat 3: Dambutt (4687.50 in chips)
Seat 6: Red Eyes (2220 in chips)
Seat 8: TumTiddle (1285 in chips)
Seat 10: Snow006 (1807.50 in chips)
Red Eyes: posts small blind 50
TumTiddle: posts big blind 100
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TumTiddle [Qs 8h]
Snow006: calls 100
Dambutt: folds
Red Eyes: calls 50
TumTiddle: checks
----- FLOP ----- [5c 8d Qd]
Red Eyes: checks
TumTiddle: checks
Snow006: bets 100
Red Eyes: calls 100
TumTiddle: raises to 400
Snow006: calls 300
Red Eyes: folds
----- TURN ----- [5c 8d Qd][Ac]
TumTiddle: bets 785 and is all-in
Snow006: calls 785
----- RIVER ----- [5c 8d Qd Ac][4d]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
TumTiddle: shows [Qs 8h] (Two Pairs, Queens and Eights, Ace high)
Snow006: shows [Ad 8c] (Two Pairs, Aces and Eights, Queen high)
Snow006 collects 2770 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 2770 Main pot 2770 Rake 0
Board [5c 8d Qd Ac 4d]
Seat 3: Dambutt (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Red Eyes (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 8: TumTiddle (big blind) showed [Qs 8h] and lost
Seat 10: Snow006 showed [Ad 8c] and won (2770) with Two Pairs, Aces and Eights, Queen high

New account, nothing changes

I set up a new account, just for poker. First game. Not much changes.

Table "STT 3512701 - 1" Seat 7 is the button.
Seat 4: cactusjim (2987 in chips)
Seat 7: Bay3008 (4933 in chips)
Seat 10: TumTiddle (2080 in chips)
TumTiddle: posts small blind 100
cactusjim: posts big blind 200
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to TumTiddle [Ad As]
Bay3008: calls 200
TumTiddle: raises to 400
cactusjim: folds
Bay3008: calls 200
----- FLOP ----- [9s 7s Kh]
TumTiddle: bets 400
Bay3008: raises to 800
TumTiddle: raises to 1680 and is all-in
Bay3008: calls 880
----- TURN ----- [9s 7s Kh][Qh]
----- RIVER ----- [9s 7s Kh Qh][Kc]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
TumTiddle: shows [Ad As] (Two Pairs, Aces and Kings, Queen high)
Bay3008: shows [Th Ks] (Three of a kind, Kings, Queen high)
Bay3008 collects 4360 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 4360 Main pot 4360 Rake 0
Board [9s 7s Kh Qh Kc]
Seat 4: cactusjim (big blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: Bay3008 (button) showed [Th Ks] and won (4360) with Three of a kind, Kings, Queen high
Seat 10: TumTiddle (small blind) showed [Ad As] and lost

Wednesday, September 20, 2006

Pocket picked

I was going along very nicely. Then these 2 hands in quick succession and out I go.

Table "STT 3494697 - 1" Seat 5 is the button.
Seat 3: gillma (565 in chips)
Seat 4: Mark68 (845 in chips)
Seat 5: RumTiddle (4015 in chips)
Seat 6: Cheeza (1000 in chips)
Seat 7: crosstree (1730 in chips)
Seat 10: Goober1 (1845 in chips)
Cheeza: posts small blind 15
crosstree: posts big blind 30
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to RumTiddle [Ad As]
Goober1: calls 30
gillma: calls 30
Mark68: calls 30
RumTiddle: raises to 150
Cheeza: folds
crosstree: folds
Goober1: calls 120
gillma: calls 120
Mark68: folds
----- FLOP ----- [8c Qc Jc]
Goober1: checks
gillma: bets 415 and is all-in
RumTiddle: raises to 1770
Goober1: is all-in 1695
Returned uncalled bets 75 to RumTiddle
----- TURN ----- [8c Qc Jc][Ts]
----- RIVER ----- [8c Qc Jc Ts][6s]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
RumTiddle: shows [Ad As] (A Pair of Aces, Queen high)
Goober1: shows [Th 9h] (A Straight, Queen high)
gillma: shows [Qd Qs] (Three of a kind, Queens, Jack high)
Goober1 collects 2560 from Side pot #1
Goober1 collects 1770 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 4330 Main pot 1770 Side pot #1 2560 | Rake 0
Board [8c Qc Jc Ts 6s]
Seat 3: gillma showed [Qd Qs] and lost
Seat 4: Mark68 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: RumTiddle (button) showed [Ad As] and lost
Seat 6: Cheeza (small blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 7: crosstree (big blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: Goober1 showed [Th 9h] and won (4330) with A Straight, Queen high

Table "STT 3494697 - 1" Seat 10 is the button.
Seat 4: Mark68 (605 in chips)
Seat 5: RumTiddle (1825 in chips)
Seat 6: Cheeza (640 in chips)
Seat 7: crosstree (1655 in chips)
Seat 10: Goober1 (5275 in chips)
Mark68: posts small blind 15
RumTiddle: posts big blind 30
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to RumTiddle [4d 8d]
Cheeza: calls 30
crosstree: folds
Goober1: calls 30
Mark68: calls 15
RumTiddle: checks
----- FLOP ----- [Kd Jc 7d]
Mark68: checks
RumTiddle: bets 30
Cheeza: calls 30
Goober1: raises to 120
Mark68: folds
RumTiddle: calls 90
Cheeza: calls 90
----- TURN ----- [Kd Jc 7d][5c]
RumTiddle: checks
Cheeza: checks
Goober1: bets 150
RumTiddle: calls 150
Cheeza: folds
----- RIVER ----- [Kd Jc 7d 5c][Td]
RumTiddle: checks
Goober1: bets 300
RumTiddle: raises to 1525 and is all-in
Goober1: calls 1225
----- SHOW DOWN -----
RumTiddle: shows [4d 8d] (A Flush, King high)
Goober1: shows [Qd 5d] (A Flush, King high)
Goober1 collects 3830 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 3830 Main pot 3830 Rake 0
Board [Kd Jc 7d 5c Td]
Seat 4: Mark68 (small blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 5: RumTiddle (big blind) showed [4d 8d] and lost
Seat 6: Cheeza folded on the Turn
Seat 7: crosstree folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: Goober1 (button) showed [Qd 5d] and won (3830) with A Flush, King high

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

Unbelievable bad beats

some of the bad beats I've had recently have been unbelievable. Also, in this particular game, some of the bad beats were unreal.

Table "STT 3486570 - 1" Seat 10 is the button.
Seat 1: Edgy246 (1853 in chips)
Seat 2: Stiggy004 (1496 in chips)
Seat 3: Doofer_uk (691 in chips)
Seat 5: The Raker (4491 in chips)
Seat 9: Hanter1 (189 in chips)
Seat 10: RumTiddle (1280 in chips)
Edgy246: posts small blind 100
Stiggy004: posts big blind 200
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to RumTiddle [Kc Kd]
Doofer_uk: calls 200
The Raker: folds
Hanter1: folds
RumTiddle: raises to 900
Edgy246: folds
Stiggy004: folds
Stiggy004 sits out
Doofer_uk: is all-in 491
Returned uncalled bets 209 to RumTiddle
----- FLOP ----- [Jd As 5h]
----- TURN ----- [Jd As 5h][6c]
----- RIVER ----- [Jd As 5h 6c][Qd]
----- SHOW DOWN -----
RumTiddle: shows [Kc Kd] (A Pair of Kings, Ace high)
Doofer_uk: shows [Ks Td] (A Straight, Ace high)
Doofer_uk collects 1682 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 1682 Main pot 1682 Rake 0
Board [Jd As 5h 6c Qd]
Seat 1: Edgy246 (small blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: Stiggy004 (big blind) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 3: Doofer_uk showed [Ks Td] and won (1682) with A Straight, Ace high
Seat 5: The Raker folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: Hanter1 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: RumTiddle (button) showed [Kc Kd] and lost

Monday, September 18, 2006

2 outer

You hit the flop and can only get beat by the 2 outer. The 2 outer is round about an 8% chance. Got beat by it twice in the same game. Decimated my stack.

Sucker punch

Wow, I didn't see this one coming. Maybe I should of just called instead of re-raised.

Table "STT 3481037 - 1" Seat 9 is the button.
Seat 1: Mac_35 (880 in chips)
Seat 2: Swain001 (1480 in chips)
Seat 4: Supadossa (910 in chips)
Seat 5: AKQboa (1015 in chips)
Seat 6: RumTiddle (2479 in chips)
Seat 7: ? (663 in chips)
Seat 8: Michael78 (1060 in chips)
Seat 9: 283283928 (573 in chips)
Seat 10: Ramcleo (940 in chips)
Ramcleo: posts small blind 7
Mac_35: posts big blind 15
----- HOLE CARDS -----
dealt to RumTiddle [6s Ad]
Swain001: calls 15
Supadossa: calls 15
AKQboa: calls 15
RumTiddle: calls 15
?: calls 15
Michael78: folds
283283928: folds
Ramcleo: calls 8
Mac_35: checks
----- FLOP ----- [As 6h 6d]
Ramcleo: checks
Mac_35: checks
Swain001: checks
Supadossa: checks
AKQboa: checks
RumTiddle: checks
?: checks
----- TURN ----- [As 6h 6d][2h]
Ramcleo: checks
Mac_35: checks
Swain001: checks
Supadossa: checks
AKQboa: checks
RumTiddle: bets 30
?: folds
Ramcleo: calls 30
Mac_35: folds
Swain001: folds
Supadossa: calls 30
AKQboa: calls 30
----- RIVER ----- [As 6h 6d 2h][9s]
Ramcleo: checks
Supadossa: checks
AKQboa: bets 120
RumTiddle: raises to 240
Ramcleo: folds
Supadossa: folds
AKQboa: raises to 360
RumTiddle: raises to 1305
AKQboa: is all-in 610
Returned uncalled bets 335 to RumTiddle
----- SHOW DOWN -----
RumTiddle: shows [6s Ad] (A Full House, Sixes full of Aces)
AKQboa: shows [9d 9c] (A Full House, Nines full of Sixes)
AKQboa collects 2165 from Main pot
----- SUMMARY -----
Total pot 2165 Main pot 2165 Rake 0
Board [As 6h 6d 2h 9s]
Seat 1: Mac_35 (big blind) folded on the Turn
Seat 2: Swain001 folded on the Turn
Seat 4: Supadossa folded on the River
Seat 5: AKQboa showed [9d 9c] and won (2165) with A Full House, Nines full of Sixes
Seat 6: RumTiddle showed [6s Ad] and lost
Seat 7: ? folded on the Turn
Seat 8: Michael78 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 9: 283283928 (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 10: Ramcleo (small blind) folded on the River